York United vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
5º
55
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 4
PAC
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 3
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 2
YOR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 1
VAN
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 15 | 50 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
YOR
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
VAN
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 15 | 59 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 2
CAV
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
CAV
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 2
CAV
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |