York United vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
5º
36
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
YOR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
YOR
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
CAV
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HFX
0 - 3
YOR
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
PAC
4 - 1
YOR
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ATO
2 - 0
HFX
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 1
FOR
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 0
ATO
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 5
ATO
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 9 | 58 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
ATO
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |