York United vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
YOR
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
HFX
3 - 3
YOR
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ATO
2 - 2
YOR
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
YOR
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
HFX
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ATO
1 - 2
HFX
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
ATO
0 - 1
FOR
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ATO
2 - 2
YOR
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ATO
2 - 2
HFX
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
ATO
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |