EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
York City vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
YOR
0 - 1
BRO
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
POR
1 - 2
YOR
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
OLD
3 - 1
YOR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
YOR
1 - 1
CRE
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
ROT
0 - 2
YOR
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
POR
3 - 1
SUN
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
OPA
3 - 1
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
POR
1 - 2
YOR
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
POR
0 - 1
NTT
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
CRY
1 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |