York City vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
YOR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STA
3 - 2
YOR
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
YOR
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 3
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
YOR
2 - 2
DAG
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
PLY
3 - 5
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PLY
0 - 2
CUM
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 2
PLY
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 0
PLY
44%
29%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |