EFL Cup 1/32
Global 2-6
York City vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
OXF
4 - 1
YOR
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
YOR
3 - 1
BUR
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
GRI
0 - 0
YOR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
YOR
2 - 1
GIL
44%
29%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
YOR
1 - 1
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
OXF
2 - 4
SHE
43%
26%
30%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
OXF
4 - 1
YOR
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
REA
2 - 1
OXF
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
OXF
3 - 0
WOL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
SUN
3 - 1
OXF
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |