York City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DAG
0 - 1
YOR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
YOR
2 - 1
SOU
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 2
YOR
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
YOR
1 - 1
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
YOR
2 - 0
PLY
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
NOR
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
CHE
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
NOR
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |