York City vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
YEO
1 - 0
YOR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
YOR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
YOR
2 - 1
MOR
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 1
YOR
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 5
STA
24%
28%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
PLY
35%
28%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 2
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NOT
4 - 3
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |