FA Cup 1/256
Global 1-0
York City vs Needham Market analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 2
BRO
22%
25%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
DAG
1 - 2
YOR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 2
SOL
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 4
BAR
20%
24%
57%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WOK
1 - 2
YOR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NEE
0 - 1
CRA
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
NEE
3 - 0
PET
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
NEE
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
NEE
6 - 1
STI
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
NEE
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |