FA Cup 1/256
Global 4-2
York City vs Morpeth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
3 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
2 - 0
WHI
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 2
YOR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
YOR
3 - 0
HEB
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MIC
0 - 4
MOR
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
RAD
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RAD
1 - 3
MOR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
HYD
2 - 2
MOR
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |