York City vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 0
HAR
47%
28%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
OXF
0 - 0
YOR
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 0
CHE
48%
28%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 4
YOR
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
YOR
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 1
OPA
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 2
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 1
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |