National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 1-2
York City vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
YOR
1 - 0
OXF
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 1
YOR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
RFC
0 - 0
YOR
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
YOR
3 - 1
RUS
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 2
YOR
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 0
GRA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
KID
0 - 1
MOR
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
WEY
2 - 1
MOR
27%
26%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
MOR
4 - 0
HAL
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
STE
3 - 3
MOR
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |