York City vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 3
YOR
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 4
CHO
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
STO
3 - 1
YOR
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 0
YOR
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
YOR
4 - 0
DAR
43%
24%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
CUR
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BLY
2 - 3
HER
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
NUN
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |