York City vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
YOR
3 - 1
AFC
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
YOR
3 - 2
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 4
YOR
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BLY
0 - 3
YOR
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 1
GAT
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
GUI
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
DAR
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 2
ALF
33%
25%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FYL
2 - 1
GUI
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |