FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-1
York City vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FYL
0 - 2
YOR
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
YOR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 1
HAL
29%
29%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 0
YOR
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 1
YOR
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DAR
3 - 2
CHE
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
YOR
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHE
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
SCU
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |