York City vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 1
YOR
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
GAT
2 - 0
YOR
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 1
YOR
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 0
BLY
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 3
ALF
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 1
GLO
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 2
ALF
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LEA
0 - 3
ALF
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
ALF
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |