Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
13º
6º
37
10º
20º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 70 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 69 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 61 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 61 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 58 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 55 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 52 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 52 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 51 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 50 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 50 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 49 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 49 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
37 | 49 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 44 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 43 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
31 | 42 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
|
19º
|
25 | 36 |
19º
|
40.5% | |
|
20º
|
24 | 33 |
20º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CON
3 - 1
FCY
32%
23%
46%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FCY
6 - 1
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCY
4 - 0
CER
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VVA
2 - 3
FCY
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAW
1 - 3
FCY
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KYO
3 - 0
FCT
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KYO
2 - 0
OIT
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CER
3 - 5
KYO
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
KYO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KYO
3 - 2
NAG
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |