Yokogawa Musashino vs Criacao Shinjuku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
16º
14º
17
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 21 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36.5% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
23.5% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
KUS
3 - 0
YOK
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
YOK
3 - 1
HON
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TIA
1 - 1
YOK
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
YOK
1 - 0
OSV
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
REA
2 - 1
YOK
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Criacao Shinjuku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CRS
0 - 0
REA
33%
28%
40%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VEK
4 - 0
CRS
66%
19%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CRS
0 - 4
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
HON
3 - 1
CRS
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 1
VER
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |