Ynyshir Albions vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
69.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
16º
16º
38
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ynyshir Albions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
YAF
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PON
3 - 0
YAF
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
YAF
1 - 2
BRI
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
5 - 0
YAF
87%
10%
3%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
YAF
1 - 0
AAF
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 2
CWM
63%
20%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 1
GOY
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 2
LLA
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 5
CWM
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CWM
3 - 3
LLA
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |