Ýmir vs Thorlakur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ýmir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ELL
6 - 2
YKP
27%
21%
52%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
YKP
3 - 5
REY
25%
21%
55%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
YKP
4 - 1
KFV
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 1
YKP
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
YKP
4 - 3
IHH
68%
16%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |