Yili Nine Towns vs Ganzhou Ruishi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
76.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ganzhou Ruishi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SSP
2 - 0
HSF
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SSP
5%
12%
84%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 0
SSP
5%
11%
84%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SSP
1 - 2
HBF
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
WCH
0 - 1
SSP
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |