YF Juventus vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
BAU
1 - 1
YFJ
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
YFJ
3 - 4
YVE
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
KRI
5 - 0
YFJ
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
YFJ
0 - 1
WIN
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
CON
4 - 1
YFJ
75%
16%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LUG
3 - 1
BEL
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
LAC
2 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
WOH
0 - 2
LUG
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAU
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
NEX
2 - 0
LUG
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |