Yeşil Bursa vs Derince Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yeşil Bursa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
OYA
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OYA
0 - 2
HEA
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
3 - 1
OYA
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 1
OYA
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
OYA
2 - 1
ERB
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DER
0 - 3
DAR
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
YOM
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 1
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
HEA
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
SAK
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |