League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Yeovil Town vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yeovil Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
GIL
0 - 2
YEO
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 0
DON
36%
27%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 0
ROT
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 0
YEO
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
YEO
2 - 1
LEY
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
NTT
0 - 0
CRE
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LEY
1 - 3
NTT
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
NTT
3 - 0
BOU
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 4
NTT
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
NTT
1 - 1
ROT
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |