52 Orduspor vs Aliaga FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+321%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
4º
66
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
52 Orduspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GUM
1 - 1
YOR
16%
23%
62%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
AYV
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MBB
1 - 1
YOR
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
3 - 0
TAR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ABS
0 - 0
YOR
15%
21%
63%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Aliaga FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
USA
1 - 4
AFK
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AFK
3 - 0
TAL
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KIY
0 - 4
AFK
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 3
AFK
70%
18%
13%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFK
2 - 0
IKG
25%
21%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |