Amasyaspor vs Çayelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+88%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
4º
26
4º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 59 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 58 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 58 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 18 |
16º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
78% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amasyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
YAS
1 - 0
MAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUL
1 - 1
YAS
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 0
YAS
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
YAS
0 - 0
KEL
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
USA
2 - 3
YAS
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Çayelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAY
0 - 3
MUL
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SIL
2 - 1
CAY
61%
23%
17%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 1
CAY
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAY
1 - 0
USA
26%
21%
54%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 2
CAY
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +2 |