Yaracuyanos vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
6º
1º
28
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
69% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
60.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 2
YAR
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
YAR
0 - 2
BSC
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 1
YAR
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HFF
1 - 0
YAR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
YAR
1 - 0
FLD
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
URE
2 - 1
FRO
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 1
URE
29%
23%
48%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
URE
3 - 0
BSC
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
URE
1 - 1
BSC
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 0
URE
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |