Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-2
Yaracuyanos vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
50.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
YAR
1 - 2
DEP
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
YAR
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
YAR
2 - 0
ZUL
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 1
YAR
49%
22%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
ZAM
1 - 0
YAR
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 1
LIG
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 0
EME
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
OLM
2 - 0
LIG
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 1
OLM
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
LIG
0 - 1
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |