Yaracuyanos vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
YAR
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
YAR
2 - 2
MIN
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 1
YAR
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
YAR
1 - 0
ARA
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 1
YAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
CFC
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 0
LLA
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 1
PEÑ
25%
24%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
CFC
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TRU
2 - 1
CFC
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |