Segunda Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Yaracuyanos vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
YAR
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
YAR
2 - 0
TRU
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
YAR
15%
24%
62%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
YAR
6 - 2
FRO
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FLD
1 - 0
YAR
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
YAR
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
URE
1 - 0
ARA
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATL
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 2
ARA
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |