Yanbian Longding vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
14º
10º
4
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 50 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 46 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 36 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
51% | |
|
|
16º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yanbian Longding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 1
YAN
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
YUN
5 - 1
YAN
45%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
YAN
3 - 2
ANH
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
YAN
1 - 1
SHE
50%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DAL
2 - 0
YAN
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
HSF
1 - 4
JIA
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 3
DAL
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
JIA
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 2
QFC
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
JIA
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |