Yanbian Longding vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
14º
12º
40
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 62 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 53 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 50 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 45 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 33 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 32 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 19 |
16º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yanbian Longding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
QFC
3 - 2
YAN
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
YAN
2 - 4
GFC
29%
28%
44%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
YAN
2 - 1
JIA
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 1
YAN
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
YUN
5 - 1
YAN
45%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
SHE
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 5
GUA
18%
21%
60%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 4
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SHU
1 - 1
GUA
9%
15%
76%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
QFC
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |