Yanbian Longding vs Chongqing Tonglianglong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
14º
10º
42
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 55 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 29 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 26 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 20 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yanbian Longding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
YAN
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 1
YAN
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WWF
2 - 0
YAN
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SDO
1 - 1
YAN
36%
29%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
QYI
1 - 0
YAN
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 0
JIA
46%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 0
CHO
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
ANH
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
SHE
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DAL
1 - 0
CHO
26%
24%
49%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |