Yanbian Longding vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
45.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yanbian Longding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
JIA
2 - 1
YAN
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 1
YAN
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
QIN
1 - 0
YAN
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
YAN
4 - 0
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WUZ
0 - 0
YAN
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
TIT
0 - 0
BEI
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BEI
0 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TIT
4 - 0
BEI
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BEI
2 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
0 - 4
BEI
23%
28%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |