China League Two PlayOffs Ascenso 1/16
Global 2-1
Yanbian Beiguo vs Shenzhen Peng City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yanbian Beiguo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
YBE
3 - 1
ZSU
31%
24%
44%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BIT
1 - 3
YBE
64%
18%
19%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
YBE
2 - 3
HEB
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
YBE
2 - 3
SHE
19%
24%
57%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
QIN
2 - 0
YBE
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SJF
1 - 2
ZHH
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FTF
2 - 0
SJF
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SJF
0 - 0
HBF
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
3 - 0
SJF
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SJF
4 - 1
SHR
36%
27%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |