China League Two Play Off Ascenso 1/16
Global 7-5
Yanbian Beiguo vs Baotou Nanjiao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baotou Nanjiao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HBS
0 - 0
BAO
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BAO
0 - 2
HBS
33%
23%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BAO
2 - 4
HOH
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JIB
2 - 0
BAO
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAO
3 - 0
BIT
17%
19%
65%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +5 |