Yagüe vs San Marcial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 3
YAG
52%
23%
25%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
YAG
4 - 1
CDS
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ANG
4 - 0
YAG
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
YAG
0 - 0
RAP
43%
26%
32%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AGO
1 - 0
YAG
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
SMC
4 - 1
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
RIV
3 - 1
SMC
58%
23%
19%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SMC
2 - 2
ADF
15%
21%
65%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
CIU
2 - 2
SMC
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SMC
1 - 1
NAX
30%
26%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |