Yagüe vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
63.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
18º
9º
9
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 78 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 75 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 70 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 60 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 52 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 49 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 49 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 48 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 48 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 46 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 29 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 28 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 25 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 20 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 31.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 61.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 2
YAG
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
YAG
3 - 5
RAP
60%
19%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 2
YAG
25%
22%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
YAG
5 - 0
REB
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AUT
0 - 1
YAG
55%
21%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 6
NAX
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 3
DAC
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
NAX
1 - 3
UDL
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
NAX
3 - 2
VAL
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IZA
3 - 0
NAX
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |