Yagüe vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
OYO
2 - 3
YAG
18%
20%
61%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
YAG
3 - 0
TED
86%
10%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AGO
3 - 3
YAG
20%
21%
60%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
YAG
0 - 4
CLH
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ALD
2 - 1
YAG
9%
15%
77%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
RIV
17%
20%
63%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 0
CAS
93%
6%
2%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
SDL
5%
12%
83%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
6 - 0
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 4
NAX
7%
15%
79%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | -1 |