Yagüe vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OYO
1 - 0
YAG
48%
25%
27%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
YAG
5 - 3
AUT
63%
20%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TED
1 - 1
YAG
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
YAG
0 - 1
RAP
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ALD
0 - 2
YAG
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
VIA
64%
20%
17%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CAS
4 - 1
CEN
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HSC
0 - 2
CAS
9%
16%
76%
|
23 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
BAÑ
88%
9%
4%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 1
CAS
16%
22%
62%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |