Yagüe vs CD Berceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
16º
15º
34
8º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 1
YAG
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RRF
5 - 2
YAG
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
YAG
1 - 1
ANG
21%
21%
57%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AGO
1 - 0
YAG
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
YAG
0 - 3
BAL
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Berceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
HAR
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
CDF
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
4 - 1
BER
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 4
BER
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BER
3 - 0
RRF
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |