Yagüe vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALF
5 - 0
YAG
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
YAG
2 - 1
ALB
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
OYO
6 - 1
YAG
60%
21%
20%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
YAG
0 - 1
VAR
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CDC
2 - 2
YAG
77%
13%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 1
PRA
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 2
ARN
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 0
VIA
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BER
2 - 2
ARN
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ARN
1 - 0
SDL
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +3 |