XV de Piracicaba vs União Barbarense analysis

XV de Piracicaba União Barbarense
59 ELO 53
5.3% Tilt -16.8%
1961º General ELO ranking 24182º
64º Country ELO ranking 675º
ELO win probability
64%
XV de Piracicaba
20.7%
Draw
15.4%
União Barbarense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
XV de Piracicaba
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.3%
Win probability
União Barbarense
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
XV de Piracicaba
-7%
+11%
União Barbarense

ELO progression

XV de Piracicaba
União Barbarense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

XV de Piracicaba
XV de Piracicaba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2015
RIO
Rio Branco SP
2 - 1
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
32%
27%
41%
61 53 8 0
12 Apr. 2015
SAN
Santos FC
3 - 0
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
80%
15%
5%
62 85 23 -1
09 Apr. 2015
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
2 - 2
Corinthians
COR
28%
29%
43%
61 87 26 +1
04 Apr. 2015
AUD
Audax São Paulo
0 - 1
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
58%
24%
18%
60 66 6 +1
29 Mar. 2015
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
1 - 0
Ponte Preta
PPE
25%
25%
51%
59 75 16 +1

Matches

União Barbarense
União Barbarense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2015
UNI
União Barbarense
2 - 1
Independente SP
IND
43%
27%
31%
51 53 2 0
18 Jul. 2015
RIO
Rio Branco SP
1 - 1
União Barbarense
UNI
48%
25%
27%
51 53 2 0
03 May. 2015
MIR
Mirassol
3 - 2
União Barbarense
UNI
61%
22%
17%
51 59 8 0
25 Apr. 2015
UNI
União Barbarense
1 - 1
Paulista
PAU
46%
26%
29%
51 50 1 0
21 Apr. 2015
NOV
Novorizontino
2 - 1
União Barbarense
UNI
50%
24%
27%
52 55 3 -1
X