Cup Paulista Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
XV de Piracicaba vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
XVD
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
XVD
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
XVD
0 - 0
SAO
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 0
XVD
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
XVD
2 - 0
NOR
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
XVD
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 0
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ATI
4 - 0
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
TAU
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |