XV de Piracicaba vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
72.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
XVD
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
XVD
3 - 1
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 4
XVD
39%
25%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
XVD
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
XVD
1 - 2
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 4
FCB
4%
11%
86%
|
84 | 98 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 3
SAN
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAH
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |