Cup Paulista Semi-finals
Global 0-2
XV de Piracicaba vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
XVD
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
4 - 1
INT
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
XVD
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
2 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
XVD
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
XVD
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
VOT
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BAT
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |