XV de Piracicaba vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
XVD
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
5 - 2
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
XVD
13%
22%
65%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 1
PRI
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
XVD
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 3
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
JUV
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIO
43%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 5
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |