XV de Piracicaba vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
XVD
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 0
RBB
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 3
XVD
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
INT
1 - 2
XVD
31%
29%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
XVD
3 - 1
PAU
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAU
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
INT
1 - 2
RIO
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 4
RBB
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 4
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |