XV de Piracicaba vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 0
XVD
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
XVD
4 - 0
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
XVD
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
AGU
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |