XV de Piracicaba vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
XVD
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
XVD
2 - 2
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
RBB
1 - 1
XVD
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
XVD
2 - 0
IND
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 1
INT
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
RBB
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
PAU
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 0
RIO
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
3 - 0
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
PAU
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |